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Why does my calorie target keep dropping?

How much it should really move each week · Last checked November 2026

Two reasons. A lighter body burns less, so your target slowly drifts down as you lose. And adaptive apps take food away when your weight stalls. A small drop over weeks is normal. A big cut every week, with no reason and no say, isn’t.

Reason 1: a lighter body burns less

Your resting burn is roughly 10 kcal a day per kilo of body weight (the Mifflin-St Jeor equation). Example: a 30-year-old woman, 165 cm, training 4 days a week:

So 6 kg lost only moves her target down by about 45 kcal. If your app cuts far more than that, it isn’t just your weight.

Reason 2: your body adapts

After weight loss, people burn less than their new weight predicts. In a Columbia University study, burn after a 10% loss was “significantly below” what the weight lost would explain. It’s real, but it’s gradual, not a weekly cliff.

Reason 3: your app reacts to the scale

Adaptive apps compare your weigh-ins to the plan. The problem: a single weigh-in moves with water, salt and what’s still in your gut. One heavy Monday can trigger a cut you didn’t need.

How much should it change?

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Sources

General guidance, not medical advice.

Related: Is Cal AI accurate?

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